Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Jaro 2 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while VPS II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS II hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while VPS II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20