Jarabacoavs
Universidad O&M
COMPLETEDDominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 10/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad O&M · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jarabacoa 0-1 Universidad O&M, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jarabacoa 4-3 Universidad O&M
Original prediction
Universidad O&M
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.59 | 19.4% | 13.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.3% | 23.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.3% | 62.5% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Projected Score
Jarabacoa 0–1 Universidad O&M
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Universidad O&M
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Universidad O&M has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00