Jarabacoavs
Delfines Del Este
COMPLETEDDominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Delfines Del Este · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jarabacoa 0-1 Delfines Del Este, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jarabacoa 1-1 Delfines Del Este
Original prediction
Delfines Del Este
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.21 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.7% | 26.8% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 66.0% | 59.1% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Jarabacoa 0–1 Delfines Del Este
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Delfines Del Este
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Delfines Del Este has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00