Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cibao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
15%
MediumconfidenceJarabacoa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cibao are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and cibao hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Liga Mayor, favouring Cibao with 14.9% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cibao
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
14.9%
Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JarabacoaDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CibaoDWLDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JarabacoaCibao
37.3Attack61.1
27.5Defence80.0
25.5Form70.0
31.8Power69.8
0.56xG2.71