Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlántico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jarabacoa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlántico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlántico hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Liga Mayor, while Atlántico holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlántico
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
11.4%
Atlántico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40