Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlántico · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jarabacoa are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Atlántico are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlántico hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Liga Mayor, while Atlántico holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlántico
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Atlántico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50