Japan Wvs
South Korea W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/29/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Japan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Japan W 2-0 South Korea W
Original prediction
Japan W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.2% | 49.1% | -26.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.64 | 15.8% | 24.4% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 9.95 | 9.0% | 26.5% | 17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Japan W
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Japan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 1 · avg 4.80/0.20
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00