Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women
Tuesday, 9 June 2026Last updated 10:13
Japan W

Japan W

Home
L
01
Full time
South Africa W

South Africa W

Away
W
J-GREEN Sakai
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

South Africa W33%
Japan W33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: South Africa W
Win probability
Japan W
33%
Draw
33%
South Africa W
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Japan W
9
South Africa W
34
Defence
Japan W
66
South Africa W
91
Momentum
Japan W
0
South Africa W
100
Danger (xG)
Japan W
0.00
South Africa W
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Japan W)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (South Africa W)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Japan W)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (South Africa W)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Japan WJapan W
L
South Africa WSouth Africa W
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Japan W33%
Draw33%
South Africa W33%

South Africa W leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Japan W head into this in Friendlies Women fixture at J-GREEN Sakai in mixed form (L), while South Africa W arrive in mixed form (W). Japan W have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for South Africa W over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Japan W (66/100) and South Africa W (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Japan W have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. South Africa W have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

South Africa W have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Japan W to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Japan W 3333%, Draw 3333%, South Africa W 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Japan W 0Draws 01 South Africa W
Avg goals: 1.0
9 Jun 2026
Japan W
L01
South Africa W

Recent form

Japan W

Japan W

L
vs South Africa W
9 Jun 2026
01
South Africa W

South Africa W

W
@ Japan W
9 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Japan W vs South Africa W?

GoalVio's model predicts Japan W to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Japan W vs South Africa W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Japan W vs South Africa W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Japan W vs South Africa W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more