Japan Wvs
Philippines W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Japan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Japan W 4-0 Philippines W
Original prediction
Japan W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.01 | 93.6% | 59.6% | -34.1 pts |
| Draw | 21.20 | 4.5% | 20.4% | 16.0 pts |
| Away | 50.00 | 1.9% | 20.0% | 18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Japan W
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Japan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 1 · avg 3.60/0.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80