Japan Wvs
Chinese Taipei W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/21/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Japan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Japan W 4-0 Chinese Taipei W
Original prediction
Japan W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 94.7% | 53.9% | -40.8 pts |
| Draw | 27.67 | 3.5% | 21.4% | 17.9 pts |
| Away | 52.33 | 1.8% | 24.7% | 22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Japan W
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Japan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20