Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Japan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Japan
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Japan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JapanWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ParaguayWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JapanParaguay
53.3Attack60.0
86.7Defence86.7
100.0Form80.0
84.2Power75.4
1.26xG1.07