Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mexico W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Jamaica W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Mexico W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mexico W hold an 80.9-point power-rating edge (5.0 v 85.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Central American and Caribbean Games, while Mexico W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mexico W
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
11.7%
Mexico W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00