Jalapavs
UNAN Managua
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UNAN Managua · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jalapa 0-0 UNAN Managua, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jalapa 2-0 UNAN Managua
Original prediction
UNAN Managua
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.8% | 28.3% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 29.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.6% | 42.1% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.6 pts
Projected Score
Jalapa 0–0 UNAN Managua
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
UNAN Managua
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
UNAN Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JalapaWDLDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UNAN ManaguaWLDWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JalapaUNAN Managua
25.6Attack43.6
56.4Defence66.7
28.2Form61.5
38.8Power59.7
0.53xG1.11