Jalapavs
Rancho Santana
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jalapa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jalapa 0-0 Rancho Santana, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jalapa 1-1 Rancho Santana
Original prediction
Jalapa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 44.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 28.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 22.1% | 27.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Jalapa 0–0 Rancho Santana
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Jalapa
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Jalapa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JalapaLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rancho SantanaWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JalapaRancho Santana
9.5Attack23.8
52.4Defence42.9
14.3Form14.3
28.9Power30.5
1.14xG0.85