Jaiyqvs
Turan Turkistan
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turan Turkistan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jaiyq 0-1 Turan Turkistan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jaiyq 1-1 Turan Turkistan
Original prediction
Turan Turkistan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.51 | 20.0% | 18.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.9% | 24.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.1% | 56.7% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Jaiyq 0–1 Turan Turkistan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Turan Turkistan
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Turan Turkistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60