1. Division1. Division
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 17:32
Jaiyq

Jaiyq

Home
LWD
20
Full time
Khan Tengri

Khan Tengri

Away
LLL
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Jaiyq(52%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Jaiyq
52%
Draw
26%
Khan Tengri
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Jaiyq
34
Khan Tengri
34
Defence
Jaiyq
66
Khan Tengri
6
Momentum
Jaiyq
44
Khan Tengri
0
Danger (xG)
Jaiyq
0.90
Khan Tengri
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Jaiyq)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Khan Tengri)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Jaiyq)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Khan Tengri)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
JaiyqJaiyq
LWDLL
Khan TengriKhan Tengri
LLLW

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Jaiyq52%
Draw26%
Khan Tengri21%

Jaiyq leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Jaiyq head into this in 1. Division fixture in mixed form (LWD), while Khan Tengri arrive struggling for consistency (LLL). Jaiyq have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Khan Tengri over 3 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Jaiyq's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Khan Tengri defence (6/100), while Khan Tengri's attack is up against a solid Jaiyq backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Jaiyq's favour.

Jaiyq have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Khan Tengri have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Jaiyq and Khan Tengri in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Jaiyq to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Jaiyq 5233%, Draw 2635%, Khan Tengri 2132%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Jaiyq

Jaiyq

L
@ Astana II
17 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Tobol 2
9 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Turan Turkistan
3 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Akademiya Ontustik
25 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Ekibastuz
15 May 2026
01
Khan Tengri

Khan Tengri

L
vs Yelimay Semey 2
16 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Aktobe Jas
9 Jul 2026
25
L
vs Ekibastuz
2 Jul 2026
13
W
@ Arys
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri?

GoalVio's model predicts Jaiyq to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more