GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jaiyq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jaiyq are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kaspij Aktau 2 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaiyq hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the 1. Division, while Jaiyq holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jaiyq

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JaiyqWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kaspij Aktau 2LWWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
JaiyqKaspij Aktau 2
33.3Attack49.0
60.8Defence41.2
51.0Form41.2
50.4Power43.5
1.32xG1.05
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