Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaiyq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jaiyq are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 47.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the 1. Division, while Jaiyq holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaiyq
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80