Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaiyq · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jaiyq are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Astana II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the 1. Division, while Jaiyq holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaiyq
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
13.8%
Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80