Jahn Regensburgvs
Havelse
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jahn Regensburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jahn Regensburg 5-0 Havelse
Original prediction
Jahn Regensburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 44.8% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.4% | 25.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.3% | 29.3% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Jahn Regensburg
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Jahn Regensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60