Jaguaresvs
Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 2/22/2023, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaguares · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Jaguares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Valledupar are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaguares hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Jaguares holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaguares
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Jaguares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33