Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Jaguares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Junior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
14.8%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40