JaguaresvsIndependiente Medellin

Jaguares are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.