Jaguaresvs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Pasto · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jaguares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Pasto hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera A, while Deportivo Pasto holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Pasto
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Deportivo Pasto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60