Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaguares · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Jaguares are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cucuta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 35.9 against 35.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Primera A, while Jaguares holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaguares
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Jaguares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20