GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/4/2023, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Jaguares are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.6% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Nacional

Probability

74.6%

Model confidence

74.6%

Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JaguaresLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Atletico NacionalDWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 1.33/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
JaguaresAtletico Nacional
30.4Attack64.2
42.0Defence72.8
27.5Form71.6
35.9Power68.8
0.48xG2.25
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