Jagielloniavs
Suduva Marijampole
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jagiellonia 5-0 Suduva Marijampole
Original prediction
Suduva Marijampole
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.4% | 31.2% | -20.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 26.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.7% | 42.3% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60