Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

Home
WW
10
Full time
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Jagiellonia39%
Draw35%
Sparta Praha26%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Jagiellonia
Win probability
Jagiellonia
39%
Draw
35%
Sparta Praha
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Jagiellonia
54
Sparta Praha
18
Defence
Jagiellonia
82
Sparta Praha
6
Momentum
Jagiellonia
100
Sparta Praha
0
Danger (xG)
Jagiellonia
1.35
Sparta Praha
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Jagiellonia)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Sparta Praha)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Jagiellonia)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Sparta Praha)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
JagielloniaJagiellonia
WWDW
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
LLD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Jagiellonia39%
Draw35%
Sparta Praha26%

Jagiellonia leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Jagiellonia head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Sparta Praha arrive in mixed form (LL). Jagiellonia have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Sparta Praha over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Jagiellonia's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Sparta Praha defence (6/100), while Sparta Praha's attack is up against a watertight Jagiellonia backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Jagiellonia's favour.

Jagiellonia have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Sparta Praha have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Jagiellonia have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Jagiellonia to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Jagiellonia 3921%, Draw 3500%, Sparta Praha 2579%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Jagiellonia 1Draws 00 Sparta Praha
Avg goals: 1.0
16 Jul 2026
Jagiellonia
W10
Sparta Praha

Recent form

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

W
@ FC Nordsjaelland
17 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Sparta Praha
16 Jul 2026
10
D
@ GKS Katowice
17 May 2026
22
W
@ Raków Częstochowa
13 May 2026
20
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha

L
@ FC Nordsjaelland
17 Jul 2026
15
L
@ Jagiellonia
16 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Plzen
12 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Sparta Praha?

GoalVio's model predicts Jagiellonia to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Sparta Praha?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Sparta Praha?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jagiellonia vs Sparta Praha?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more