Jagielloniavs
Slask Wroclaw
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/6/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jagiellonia 2-1 Slask Wroclaw
Original prediction
Jagiellonia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.3% | 45.1% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.1% | 26.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.5% | 28.2% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40