GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rangers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Jagiellonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JagielloniaWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RangersDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JagielloniaRangers
50.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power36.5
1.70xG1.04
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