JagielloniavsAjax

Jagiellonia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ajax are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Jagiellonia holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.