GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/13/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Wisła Płock II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 47.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wisła Płock IILWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIWisła Płock II
48.0Attack52.9
46.1Defence43.1
44.1Form42.2
46.8Power47.6
1.78xG1.59
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