GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/11/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wigry Suwałki · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wigry Suwałki are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigry Suwałki hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Wigry Suwałki holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wigry Suwałki

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Wigry Suwałki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wigry SuwałkiWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIWigry Suwałki
48.0Attack45.1
46.1Defence62.7
44.1Form47.1
46.8Power52.8
1.15xG1.37
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