GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/27/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 47.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzDDWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIWarta Sieradz
48.0Attack42.2
46.1Defence52.9
44.1Form43.1
46.8Power47.4
1.48xG1.26
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