GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/29/2025, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDLDDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceWWLWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Jagiellonia IIUnia Skierniewice
48.0Attack76.5
46.1Defence54.9
44.1Form63.7
46.8Power63.6
1.35xG2.41
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