Jagiellonia IIvs
Swit
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
Original prediction
Swit
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.3% | 34.6% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 27.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 33.7% | 38.4% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jagiellonia IILDLLW
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SwitLWWWL
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IISwit
33.3Attack41.7
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form41.7
23.7Power54.1
1.27xG1.56