GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/17/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Swit are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.8 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SwitWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IISwit
48.0Attack0.0
46.1Defence100.0
44.1Form33.3
46.8Power45.3
1.56xG1.46
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