GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/20/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sokół Aleksandrów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sokół AleksandrówLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IISokół Aleksandrów
48.0Attack25.5
46.1Defence29.4
44.1Form11.8
46.8Power25.7
2.37xG0.79
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