Jagiellonia IIvs
Sokół Aleksandrów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/20/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Jagiellonia II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sokół Aleksandrów are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20