Jagiellonia IIvs
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/2/2024, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80