GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

72.1%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILLLDW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IIPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
48.0Attack100.0
46.1Defence68.6
44.1Form74.5
46.8Power76.1
0.91xG2.76
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