GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pilica Białobrzegi are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 24.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

74.9%

Model confidence

74.9%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDWDDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pilica BiałobrzegiLDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Jagiellonia IIPilica Białobrzegi
48.0Attack29.4
46.1Defence12.7
44.1Form18.6
46.8Power24.0
2.84xG0.83
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