GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

13.1%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Jagiellonia IIPelikan Łowicz
48.0Attack51.0
46.1Defence60.8
44.1Form51.0
46.8Power53.7
1.21xG1.56
View match centre →