GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/16/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIPelikan Łowicz
48.0Attack51.0
46.1Defence60.8
44.1Form51.0
46.8Power53.7
1.21xG1.56
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