GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 6/8/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILWLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIPelikan Łowicz
48.0Attack51.0
46.1Defence60.8
44.1Form51.0
46.8Power53.7
1.21xG1.56
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