Jagiellonia IIvs
Łomża
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/25/2024, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Łomża are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60