GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/13/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Łomża are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IILLWWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ŁomżaDWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Jagiellonia IIŁomża
48.0Attack66.7
46.1Defence0.0
44.1Form0.0
46.8Power23.7
1.86xG1.47
View match centre →