GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olimpia Elbląg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Olimpia ElblągWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIOlimpia Elbląg
48.0Attack42.2
46.1Defence37.3
44.1Form34.3
46.8Power40.2
2.01xG1.24
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