Jagiellonia IIvs
Mławianka Mława
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Jagiellonia II are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jagiellonia II
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40