GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 1/3
Mławianka MławaWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIMławianka Mława
48.0Attack39.2
46.1Defence50.0
44.1Form38.2
46.8Power43.7
1.58xG1.16
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