GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/12/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoLWDWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IILegionovia Legionowo
48.0Attack40.2
46.1Defence30.4
44.1Form26.5
46.8Power34.1
2.27xG1.16
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