GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jagiellonia IIWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IIWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IILegia Warszawa II
48.0Attack68.6
46.1Defence60.8
44.1Form63.7
46.8Power63.8
1.17xG2.16
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